{
  "schemaVersion": 1,
  "methodVersion": "a-share-reading-1.0",
  "reportDigest": "53d9f4209e8d96b609b8350b9ea8e59eb4b975dc30f14ecbed89ab0f52f0dee2",
  "tradingDate": "2026-10-09",
  "createdAt": "2026-10-09T17:13:05.649829+08:00",
  "context": {
    "schemaVersion": 1,
    "tradingDate": "2026-10-09",
    "sources": [
      {
        "sourceId": "breadth",
        "kind": "breadth",
        "url": "https://news.10jqka.com.cn/20261009/c680520275.shtml",
        "label": "同花顺每日行情复盘",
        "tradingDate": "2026-10-09",
        "retrievedAt": "2026-10-09T17:13:05.612731+08:00",
        "contentSha256": "d0dd13b26e43e6f2fba551a5acea37024bbc14b2f6775c8e0d1a8069f993330b",
        "excerpt": "当日A股市场共有3260只个股上涨，2104只下跌，112只持平。其中320只个股涨超5%，160只个股跌超5%；70只个股涨停，11只个股跌停",
        "tables": [
          [
            [
              "排名",
              "指数简称",
              "涨跌幅(%)",
              "成交额(亿元)",
              "近5日(%)",
              "近30日(%)"
            ],
            [
              "1",
              "影视院线（881274）",
              "7.23",
              "105.94",
              "4.97",
              "16.01"
            ],
            [
              "2",
              "文化传媒（881164）",
              "5.78",
              "356.60",
              "2.77",
              "11.02"
            ],
            [
              "3",
              "贵金属（881169）",
              "5.27",
              "265.47",
              "-0.13",
              "-11.41"
            ],
            [
              "4",
              "种植业与林业（881101）",
              "4.87",
              "149.40",
              "3.16",
              "11.44"
            ],
            [
              "5",
              "软件开发（881272）",
              "3.99",
              "391.67",
              "0.44",
              "2.09"
            ],
            [
              "6",
              "游戏（881275）",
              "3.49",
              "75.61",
              "0.42",
              "-1.18"
            ],
            [
              "7",
              "零售",
              "3.13",
              "134.35",
              "2.05",
              "5.33"
            ],
            [
              "8",
              "IT服务（881271）",
              "2.52",
              "316.90",
              "-1.45",
              "0.08"
            ],
            [
              "9",
              "证券",
              "2.32",
              "237.12",
              "-0.39",
              "-0.29"
            ],
            [
              "10",
              "电池",
              "2.16",
              "990.04",
              "7.13",
              "3.93"
            ]
          ],
          [
            [
              "排名",
              "指数简称",
              "涨跌幅(%)",
              "成交额(亿元)",
              "近5日(%)",
              "近30日(%)"
            ],
            [
              "1",
              "元件（881270）",
              "-3.63",
              "1043.60",
              "-12.11",
              "6.89"
            ],
            [
              "2",
              "风电设备（881280）",
              "-2.87",
              "166.53",
              "-1.99",
              "2.72"
            ],
            [
              "3",
              "电子化学品（881172）",
              "-2.60",
              "366.12",
              "-14.13",
              "-11.80"
            ],
            [
              "4",
              "其他电子（881123）",
              "-1.52",
              "150.32",
              "-9.97",
              "-5.68"
            ],
            [
              "5",
              "半导体（881121）",
              "-1.27",
              "2300.70",
              "-12.78",
              "-8.44"
            ],
            [
              "6",
              "其他电源设备（881282）",
              "-1.07",
              "132.93",
              "-6.60",
              "-3.50"
            ],
            [
              "7",
              "银行",
              "-1.06",
              "331.32",
              "1.39",
              "2.84"
            ],
            [
              "8",
              "军工装备（881166）",
              "-1.00",
              "273.96",
              "-4.21",
              "0.59"
            ],
            [
              "9",
              "军工电子（881276）",
              "-0.96",
              "164.27",
              "-7.40",
              "-2.98"
            ],
            [
              "10",
              "燃气",
              "-0.96",
              "39.97",
              "2.01",
              "3.29"
            ]
          ],
          [
            [
              "指数简称",
              "成交额(亿元)",
              "涨跌幅(%)",
              "近5日(%)",
              "近30日(%)"
            ],
            [
              "半导体（881121）",
              "2300.70",
              "-1.27",
              "-12.78",
              "-8.44"
            ],
            [
              "通信设备（881129）",
              "1233.61",
              "-0.58",
              "-9.52",
              "-2.65"
            ],
            [
              "元件（881270）",
              "1043.60",
              "-3.63",
              "-12.11",
              "6.89"
            ],
            [
              "电池",
              "990.04",
              "2.16",
              "7.13",
              "3.93"
            ],
            [
              "通用设备（881117）",
              "506.47",
              "-0.56",
              "-6.13",
              "-1.00"
            ],
            [
              "化学制药（881140）",
              "460.87",
              "1.57",
              "1.52",
              "-3.88"
            ],
            [
              "汽车零部件（881126）",
              "454.49",
              "0.24",
              "-2.56",
              "-0.56"
            ],
            [
              "化学制品（881109）",
              "422.74",
              "0.82",
              "-1.05",
              "1.31"
            ],
            [
              "消费电子（881124）",
              "418.68",
              "-0.75",
              "-8.13",
              "-4.34"
            ],
            [
              "光学光电子（881122）",
              "393.35",
              "-0.96",
              "-6.70",
              "-2.52"
            ]
          ],
          [
            [
              "指数简称",
              "成交额(亿元)",
              "涨跌幅(%)",
              "近5日(%)",
              "近30日(%)"
            ],
            [
              "厨卫电器（881174）",
              "9.46",
              "0.98",
              "-0.43",
              "2.64"
            ],
            [
              "贸易",
              "13.63",
              "1.44",
              "1.11",
              "1.81"
            ],
            [
              "黑色家电（881132）",
              "16.39",
              "-0.03",
              "-3.87",
              "1.24"
            ],
            [
              "机场航运（881151）",
              "21.79",
              "0.88",
              "-0.46",
              "-3.04"
            ],
            [
              "造纸（881137）",
              "25.13",
              "0.46",
              "-0.20",
              "2.23"
            ],
            [
              "橡胶制品（881266）",
              "25.57",
              "1.22",
              "-2.73",
              "3.64"
            ],
            [
              "轨交设备（881269）",
              "28.62",
              "-0.06",
              "-0.65",
              "1.19"
            ],
            [
              "汽车服务及其他（881128）",
              "29.33",
              "0.49",
              "-1.21",
              "2.35"
            ],
            [
              "教育",
              "31.79",
              "1.98",
              "-1.94",
              "7.98"
            ],
            [
              "电机",
              "32.69",
              "0.49",
              "-2.72",
              "-3.29"
            ]
          ]
        ],
        "facts": {
          "breadth": {
            "up": 3260,
            "down": 2104,
            "flat": 112,
            "up5": 320,
            "down5": 160,
            "limitUp": 70,
            "limitDown": 11
          },
          "sectors": [
            {
              "name": "影视院线",
              "return1dPct": 7.23,
              "turnoverYi": 105.94,
              "return5dPct": 4.97,
              "return30dPct": 16.01
            },
            {
              "name": "文化传媒",
              "return1dPct": 5.78,
              "turnoverYi": 356.6,
              "return5dPct": 2.77,
              "return30dPct": 11.02
            },
            {
              "name": "贵金属",
              "return1dPct": 5.27,
              "turnoverYi": 265.47,
              "return5dPct": -0.13,
              "return30dPct": -11.41
            },
            {
              "name": "种植业与林业",
              "return1dPct": 4.87,
              "turnoverYi": 149.4,
              "return5dPct": 3.16,
              "return30dPct": 11.44
            },
            {
              "name": "软件开发",
              "return1dPct": 3.99,
              "turnoverYi": 391.67,
              "return5dPct": 0.44,
              "return30dPct": 2.09
            },
            {
              "name": "游戏",
              "return1dPct": 3.49,
              "turnoverYi": 75.61,
              "return5dPct": 0.42,
              "return30dPct": -1.18
            },
            {
              "name": "零售",
              "return1dPct": 3.13,
              "turnoverYi": 134.35,
              "return5dPct": 2.05,
              "return30dPct": 5.33
            },
            {
              "name": "IT服务",
              "return1dPct": 2.52,
              "turnoverYi": 316.9,
              "return5dPct": -1.45,
              "return30dPct": 0.08
            },
            {
              "name": "证券",
              "return1dPct": 2.32,
              "turnoverYi": 237.12,
              "return5dPct": -0.39,
              "return30dPct": -0.29
            },
            {
              "name": "电池",
              "return1dPct": 2.16,
              "turnoverYi": 990.04,
              "return5dPct": 7.13,
              "return30dPct": 3.93
            },
            {
              "name": "元件",
              "return1dPct": -3.63,
              "turnoverYi": 1043.6,
              "return5dPct": -12.11,
              "return30dPct": 6.89
            },
            {
              "name": "风电设备",
              "return1dPct": -2.87,
              "turnoverYi": 166.53,
              "return5dPct": -1.99,
              "return30dPct": 2.72
            },
            {
              "name": "电子化学品",
              "return1dPct": -2.6,
              "turnoverYi": 366.12,
              "return5dPct": -14.13,
              "return30dPct": -11.8
            },
            {
              "name": "其他电子",
              "return1dPct": -1.52,
              "turnoverYi": 150.32,
              "return5dPct": -9.97,
              "return30dPct": -5.68
            },
            {
              "name": "半导体",
              "return1dPct": -1.27,
              "turnoverYi": 2300.7,
              "return5dPct": -12.78,
              "return30dPct": -8.44
            },
            {
              "name": "其他电源设备",
              "return1dPct": -1.07,
              "turnoverYi": 132.93,
              "return5dPct": -6.6,
              "return30dPct": -3.5
            },
            {
              "name": "银行",
              "return1dPct": -1.06,
              "turnoverYi": 331.32,
              "return5dPct": 1.39,
              "return30dPct": 2.84
            },
            {
              "name": "军工装备",
              "return1dPct": -1.0,
              "turnoverYi": 273.96,
              "return5dPct": -4.21,
              "return30dPct": 0.59
            },
            {
              "name": "军工电子",
              "return1dPct": -0.96,
              "turnoverYi": 164.27,
              "return5dPct": -7.4,
              "return30dPct": -2.98
            },
            {
              "name": "燃气",
              "return1dPct": -0.96,
              "turnoverYi": 39.97,
              "return5dPct": 2.01,
              "return30dPct": 3.29
            },
            {
              "name": "通信设备",
              "return1dPct": -0.58,
              "turnoverYi": 1233.61,
              "return5dPct": -9.52,
              "return30dPct": -2.65
            },
            {
              "name": "通用设备",
              "return1dPct": -0.56,
              "turnoverYi": 506.47,
              "return5dPct": -6.13,
              "return30dPct": -1.0
            },
            {
              "name": "化学制药",
              "return1dPct": 1.57,
              "turnoverYi": 460.87,
              "return5dPct": 1.52,
              "return30dPct": -3.88
            },
            {
              "name": "汽车零部件",
              "return1dPct": 0.24,
              "turnoverYi": 454.49,
              "return5dPct": -2.56,
              "return30dPct": -0.56
            },
            {
              "name": "化学制品",
              "return1dPct": 0.82,
              "turnoverYi": 422.74,
              "return5dPct": -1.05,
              "return30dPct": 1.31
            },
            {
              "name": "消费电子",
              "return1dPct": -0.75,
              "turnoverYi": 418.68,
              "return5dPct": -8.13,
              "return30dPct": -4.34
            },
            {
              "name": "光学光电子",
              "return1dPct": -0.96,
              "turnoverYi": 393.35,
              "return5dPct": -6.7,
              "return30dPct": -2.52
            },
            {
              "name": "厨卫电器",
              "return1dPct": 0.98,
              "turnoverYi": 9.46,
              "return5dPct": -0.43,
              "return30dPct": 2.64
            },
            {
              "name": "贸易",
              "return1dPct": 1.44,
              "turnoverYi": 13.63,
              "return5dPct": 1.11,
              "return30dPct": 1.81
            },
            {
              "name": "黑色家电",
              "return1dPct": -0.03,
              "turnoverYi": 16.39,
              "return5dPct": -3.87,
              "return30dPct": 1.24
            },
            {
              "name": "机场航运",
              "return1dPct": 0.88,
              "turnoverYi": 21.79,
              "return5dPct": -0.46,
              "return30dPct": -3.04
            },
            {
              "name": "造纸",
              "return1dPct": 0.46,
              "turnoverYi": 25.13,
              "return5dPct": -0.2,
              "return30dPct": 2.23
            },
            {
              "name": "橡胶制品",
              "return1dPct": 1.22,
              "turnoverYi": 25.57,
              "return5dPct": -2.73,
              "return30dPct": 3.64
            },
            {
              "name": "轨交设备",
              "return1dPct": -0.06,
              "turnoverYi": 28.62,
              "return5dPct": -0.65,
              "return30dPct": 1.19
            },
            {
              "name": "汽车服务及其他",
              "return1dPct": 0.49,
              "turnoverYi": 29.33,
              "return5dPct": -1.21,
              "return30dPct": 2.35
            },
            {
              "name": "教育",
              "return1dPct": 1.98,
              "turnoverYi": 31.79,
              "return5dPct": -1.94,
              "return30dPct": 7.98
            },
            {
              "name": "电机",
              "return1dPct": 0.49,
              "turnoverYi": 32.69,
              "return5dPct": -2.72,
              "return30dPct": -3.29
            }
          ]
        },
        "excerptDigest": "f95b4bf68166643845a2c2f4979a44ef7ab7d59cc5ee6d9948b7c7cd2a3066d5"
      }
    ],
    "errors": [],
    "searchAudit": [],
    "collectedAt": "2026-10-09T17:13:05.648547+08:00",
    "contextDigest": "7c0246a142f6c97fa6c122af8938e300c81aca626fe6e456758f098c6f8a8998"
  },
  "mode": "before_next_open",
  "analysis": {
    "headline": "指数仍在分化，机会取决于强势方向能否扩散",
    "conclusion": "我的判断：下一交易日仍以分化看待，先分清强弱方向，不把指数反弹等同于所有股票的机会。当前值得优先研究的是影视院线、文化传媒，重点是它们的强势能否延续，而不是把跌得多当作机会。",
    "keyFacts": [
      {
        "label": "下跌个股占比",
        "value": "38.4%",
        "note": "2104 跌 / 3260 涨"
      },
      {
        "label": "沪深300近20日",
        "value": "-5.17%",
        "note": "收盘 4317.25"
      },
      {
        "label": "中证1000相对沪深300",
        "value": "+0.08 个百分点",
        "note": "前日 -1.11 个百分点"
      }
    ],
    "drivers": [
      {
        "title": "参与范围：指数方向与个股表现要一起看",
        "text": "上证当日+0.05%；同花顺统计中3260只上涨、2104只下跌、112只持平。上涨能否延续，要看参与范围是否扩大；若只有少数方向上涨，应继续按结构性行情判断。",
        "sources": [
          "breadth"
        ]
      },
      {
        "title": "小盘相对占优，下一步看强势是否保持",
        "text": "中证1000+0.24%，沪深300+0.16%，相差+0.08个百分点；前日差值为-1.11个百分点。当前相对强弱已出现变化，不能沿用上一期排序。小市值公司的盈利增长和现金流必须单独核对，低PEG并不能抵消价格趋势与流动性压力。",
        "sources": [
          "sh000852",
          "sh000300"
        ]
      },
      {
        "title": "收盘位置决定修复的成色",
        "text": "上证从日内低点3754.14回到3813.79，回升59.65点；创业板从2932.80回到3043.33。不过，上证20日均线在3892.75，创业板20日均线在3277.10。下一交易日要看收盘能否继续保持在关键均线上方。",
        "sources": [
          "sh000001",
          "sz399006"
        ]
      }
    ],
    "chain": [
      "指数走势分化",
      "相对强弱改变",
      "观察修复能否扩散"
    ],
    "sectors": [
      {
        "name": "影视院线",
        "return1dPct": 7.23,
        "turnoverYi": 105.94,
        "return5dPct": 4.97,
        "return30dPct": 16.01
      },
      {
        "name": "文化传媒",
        "return1dPct": 5.78,
        "turnoverYi": 356.6,
        "return5dPct": 2.77,
        "return30dPct": 11.02
      },
      {
        "name": "贵金属",
        "return1dPct": 5.27,
        "turnoverYi": 265.47,
        "return5dPct": -0.13,
        "return30dPct": -11.41
      },
      {
        "name": "种植业与林业",
        "return1dPct": 4.87,
        "turnoverYi": 149.4,
        "return5dPct": 3.16,
        "return30dPct": 11.44
      },
      {
        "name": "软件开发",
        "return1dPct": 3.99,
        "turnoverYi": 391.67,
        "return5dPct": 0.44,
        "return30dPct": 2.09
      },
      {
        "name": "游戏",
        "return1dPct": 3.49,
        "turnoverYi": 75.61,
        "return5dPct": 0.42,
        "return30dPct": -1.18
      },
      {
        "name": "零售",
        "return1dPct": 3.13,
        "turnoverYi": 134.35,
        "return5dPct": 2.05,
        "return30dPct": 5.33
      },
      {
        "name": "IT服务",
        "return1dPct": 2.52,
        "turnoverYi": 316.9,
        "return5dPct": -1.45,
        "return30dPct": 0.08
      },
      {
        "name": "证券",
        "return1dPct": 2.32,
        "turnoverYi": 237.12,
        "return5dPct": -0.39,
        "return30dPct": -0.29
      },
      {
        "name": "电池",
        "return1dPct": 2.16,
        "turnoverYi": 990.04,
        "return5dPct": 7.13,
        "return30dPct": 3.93
      },
      {
        "name": "元件",
        "return1dPct": -3.63,
        "turnoverYi": 1043.6,
        "return5dPct": -12.11,
        "return30dPct": 6.89
      },
      {
        "name": "风电设备",
        "return1dPct": -2.87,
        "turnoverYi": 166.53,
        "return5dPct": -1.99,
        "return30dPct": 2.72
      },
      {
        "name": "电子化学品",
        "return1dPct": -2.6,
        "turnoverYi": 366.12,
        "return5dPct": -14.13,
        "return30dPct": -11.8
      },
      {
        "name": "其他电子",
        "return1dPct": -1.52,
        "turnoverYi": 150.32,
        "return5dPct": -9.97,
        "return30dPct": -5.68
      },
      {
        "name": "半导体",
        "return1dPct": -1.27,
        "turnoverYi": 2300.7,
        "return5dPct": -12.78,
        "return30dPct": -8.44
      },
      {
        "name": "其他电源设备",
        "return1dPct": -1.07,
        "turnoverYi": 132.93,
        "return5dPct": -6.6,
        "return30dPct": -3.5
      },
      {
        "name": "银行",
        "return1dPct": -1.06,
        "turnoverYi": 331.32,
        "return5dPct": 1.39,
        "return30dPct": 2.84
      },
      {
        "name": "军工装备",
        "return1dPct": -1.0,
        "turnoverYi": 273.96,
        "return5dPct": -4.21,
        "return30dPct": 0.59
      },
      {
        "name": "军工电子",
        "return1dPct": -0.96,
        "turnoverYi": 164.27,
        "return5dPct": -7.4,
        "return30dPct": -2.98
      },
      {
        "name": "燃气",
        "return1dPct": -0.96,
        "turnoverYi": 39.97,
        "return5dPct": 2.01,
        "return30dPct": 3.29
      },
      {
        "name": "通信设备",
        "return1dPct": -0.58,
        "turnoverYi": 1233.61,
        "return5dPct": -9.52,
        "return30dPct": -2.65
      },
      {
        "name": "通用设备",
        "return1dPct": -0.56,
        "turnoverYi": 506.47,
        "return5dPct": -6.13,
        "return30dPct": -1.0
      },
      {
        "name": "化学制药",
        "return1dPct": 1.57,
        "turnoverYi": 460.87,
        "return5dPct": 1.52,
        "return30dPct": -3.88
      },
      {
        "name": "汽车零部件",
        "return1dPct": 0.24,
        "turnoverYi": 454.49,
        "return5dPct": -2.56,
        "return30dPct": -0.56
      },
      {
        "name": "化学制品",
        "return1dPct": 0.82,
        "turnoverYi": 422.74,
        "return5dPct": -1.05,
        "return30dPct": 1.31
      },
      {
        "name": "消费电子",
        "return1dPct": -0.75,
        "turnoverYi": 418.68,
        "return5dPct": -8.13,
        "return30dPct": -4.34
      },
      {
        "name": "光学光电子",
        "return1dPct": -0.96,
        "turnoverYi": 393.35,
        "return5dPct": -6.7,
        "return30dPct": -2.52
      },
      {
        "name": "厨卫电器",
        "return1dPct": 0.98,
        "turnoverYi": 9.46,
        "return5dPct": -0.43,
        "return30dPct": 2.64
      },
      {
        "name": "贸易",
        "return1dPct": 1.44,
        "turnoverYi": 13.63,
        "return5dPct": 1.11,
        "return30dPct": 1.81
      },
      {
        "name": "黑色家电",
        "return1dPct": -0.03,
        "turnoverYi": 16.39,
        "return5dPct": -3.87,
        "return30dPct": 1.24
      },
      {
        "name": "机场航运",
        "return1dPct": 0.88,
        "turnoverYi": 21.79,
        "return5dPct": -0.46,
        "return30dPct": -3.04
      },
      {
        "name": "造纸",
        "return1dPct": 0.46,
        "turnoverYi": 25.13,
        "return5dPct": -0.2,
        "return30dPct": 2.23
      },
      {
        "name": "橡胶制品",
        "return1dPct": 1.22,
        "turnoverYi": 25.57,
        "return5dPct": -2.73,
        "return30dPct": 3.64
      },
      {
        "name": "轨交设备",
        "return1dPct": -0.06,
        "turnoverYi": 28.62,
        "return5dPct": -0.65,
        "return30dPct": 1.19
      },
      {
        "name": "汽车服务及其他",
        "return1dPct": 0.49,
        "turnoverYi": 29.33,
        "return5dPct": -1.21,
        "return30dPct": 2.35
      },
      {
        "name": "教育",
        "return1dPct": 1.98,
        "turnoverYi": 31.79,
        "return5dPct": -1.94,
        "return30dPct": 7.98
      },
      {
        "name": "电机",
        "return1dPct": 0.49,
        "turnoverYi": 32.69,
        "return5dPct": -2.72,
        "return30dPct": -3.29
      }
    ],
    "leaders": [
      {
        "name": "影视院线",
        "return1dPct": 7.23,
        "turnoverYi": 105.94,
        "return5dPct": 4.97,
        "return30dPct": 16.01
      },
      {
        "name": "文化传媒",
        "return1dPct": 5.78,
        "turnoverYi": 356.6,
        "return5dPct": 2.77,
        "return30dPct": 11.02
      },
      {
        "name": "贵金属",
        "return1dPct": 5.27,
        "turnoverYi": 265.47,
        "return5dPct": -0.13,
        "return30dPct": -11.41
      }
    ],
    "laggards": [
      {
        "name": "元件",
        "return1dPct": -3.63,
        "turnoverYi": 1043.6,
        "return5dPct": -12.11,
        "return30dPct": 6.89
      },
      {
        "name": "风电设备",
        "return1dPct": -2.87,
        "turnoverYi": 166.53,
        "return5dPct": -1.99,
        "return30dPct": 2.72
      },
      {
        "name": "电子化学品",
        "return1dPct": -2.6,
        "turnoverYi": 366.12,
        "return5dPct": -14.13,
        "return30dPct": -11.8
      }
    ],
    "sectorSummary": "强势集中在影视院线、文化传媒，不能概括成整个科技板块转强。半导体成交活跃也不代表上涨，成交与方向要一起看。",
    "opportunities": [
      {
        "title": "影视院线：优先观察强势延续",
        "text": "当日+7.23%，近5日+4.97%，近30日+16.01%。它已经在弱市中体现相对强度；研究重点是上涨能否由盈利和订单兑现支持，而非只靠题材延续。",
        "condition": "下一交易日仍强于大盘，并从少数个股扩散到板块；若明显转弱，这条线索降级。",
        "sources": [
          "breadth"
        ]
      },
      {
        "title": "文化传媒：观察能否跟上主线",
        "text": "当日+5.78%，近5日+2.77%，近30日+11.02%。它已经在弱市中体现相对强度；研究重点是上涨能否由盈利和订单兑现支持，而非只靠题材延续。",
        "condition": "下一交易日仍强于大盘，并从少数个股扩散到板块；若明显转弱，这条线索降级。",
        "sources": [
          "breadth"
        ]
      },
      {
        "title": "小盘修复：等相对强弱先改变",
        "text": "本期中证1000相对沪深300+0.08个百分点。若相对强势继续保持，才值得进一步拆解其中的行业和盈利驱动。",
        "condition": "先看中证1000不再跑输沪深300，再研究业绩与现金流能支撑估值的公司。",
        "sources": [
          "sh000852",
          "sh000300"
        ]
      }
    ],
    "risks": [
      {
        "title": "修复失败",
        "text": "上证3754.14是本期日内低点。若下一交易日收盘跌破，说明这次承接被否定，下行风险应上调。",
        "sources": [
          "sh000001"
        ]
      },
      {
        "title": "强势方向也有回撤压力",
        "text": "领涨的影视院线近30日已涨+16.01%，强势与低风险是两回事。若高位放量却不能继续走强，要警惕收益预期回落。",
        "sources": [
          "breadth"
        ]
      }
    ],
    "scenarios": [
      {
        "label": "主判断",
        "title": "震荡分化，先看强弱变化",
        "text": "优先看更多指数能否站上20日均线、相对强势是否延续；若只有少数方向支撑，则仍按局部行情看。"
      },
      {
        "label": "转强条件",
        "title": "价格修复与风格改善同时出现",
        "text": "上证收复3892.75（本期20日均线），且中证1000不再跑输沪深300，才把判断向更广泛修复调整。"
      },
      {
        "label": "转弱条件",
        "title": "前低失守，承接被否定",
        "text": "上证收盘跌破3754.14，或小盘相对弱势进一步扩大，当前修复假设降级。不能用盘中拉升抵消收盘走弱。"
      }
    ],
    "technical": [
      {
        "id": "sh000001",
        "name": "上证指数",
        "ma5": 3824.39,
        "ma10": 3876.07,
        "ma20": 3892.75,
        "recoveryFromLowPct": 1.59
      },
      {
        "id": "sh000300",
        "name": "沪深300",
        "ma5": 4334.22,
        "ma10": 4421.91,
        "ma20": 4470.13,
        "recoveryFromLowPct": 1.83
      },
      {
        "id": "sh000905",
        "name": "中证500",
        "ma5": 7355.31,
        "ma10": 7567.14,
        "ma20": 7619.6,
        "recoveryFromLowPct": 2.87
      },
      {
        "id": "sh000852",
        "name": "中证1000",
        "ma5": 7242.57,
        "ma10": 7474.15,
        "ma20": 7512.73,
        "recoveryFromLowPct": 3.33
      },
      {
        "id": "sz399006",
        "name": "创业板指",
        "ma5": 3099.53,
        "ma10": 3233.84,
        "ma20": 3277.1,
        "recoveryFromLowPct": 3.77
      },
      {
        "id": "sh000688",
        "name": "科创50",
        "ma5": 1513.78,
        "ma10": 1582.68,
        "ma20": 1580.8,
        "recoveryFromLowPct": 4.84
      }
    ],
    "overnight": null,
    "breadth": {
      "up": 3260,
      "down": 2104,
      "flat": 112,
      "up5": 320,
      "down5": 160,
      "limitUp": 70,
      "limitDown": 11
    },
    "strategy": "对小市值 + 低PEG研究：先排查利润是不是一次性、经营现金流能否跟上、成交是否足以承接波动。优先研究有业绩支撑的相对强势公司；不因指数回升、跌幅大或估值低就直接得出便宜的结论。"
  },
  "readingDigest": "26a172c4db19ce44db70457c604617058f9152e60ece75b0ad7e2dd90a107a69"
}
