{ "schemaVersion": 1, "methodVersion": "a-share-reading-1.0", "reportDigest": "b6b335cf0ad83e5e656bfeadcdb7aded844f002a0aab3853e562b3c362f1ee1b", "tradingDate": "2026-10-12", "createdAt": "2026-10-12T16:43:06.516437+08:00", "context": { "schemaVersion": 1, "tradingDate": "2026-10-12", "sources": [ { "sourceId": "breadth", "kind": "breadth", "url": "https://news.10jqka.com.cn/20261012/c680585004.shtml", "label": "同花顺每日行情复盘", "tradingDate": "2026-10-12", "retrievedAt": "2026-10-12T16:43:06.475916+08:00", "contentSha256": "1b412af8acc29bb20cd1ebd61ddd29a33ff45793cfa5717f724380cd5e2ca701", "excerpt": "当日A股市场共有1155只个股上涨，4256只下跌，67只持平。其中121只个股涨超5%，462只个股跌超5%；48只个股涨停，22只个股跌停", "tables": [ [ [ "排名", "指数简称", "涨跌幅(%)", "成交额(亿元)", "近5日(%)", "近30日(%)" ], [ "1", "影视院线（881274）", "3.67", "147.18", "10.97", "20.83" ], [ "2", "文化传媒（881164）", "2.37", "470.08", "8.20", "14.24" ], [ "3", "风电设备（881280）", "2.34", "157.94", "-0.53", "5.51" ], [ "4", "银行", "1.99", "362.79", "3.62", "5.32" ], [ "5", "游戏（881275）", "0.86", "64.97", "3.78", "0.74" ], [ "6", "汽车整车（881125）", "0.43", "141.67", "0.54", "1.67" ], [ "7", "保险", "0.42", "56.70", "0.58", "2.38" ], [ "8", "公路铁路运输（881149）", "0.41", "45.98", "3.69", "4.86" ], [ "9", "光伏设备（881279）", "0.20", "224.55", "-0.11", "-6.64" ], [ "10", "证券", "0.09", "161.38", "1.62", "-0.13" ] ], [ [ "排名", "指数简称", "涨跌幅(%)", "成交额(亿元)", "近5日(%)", "近30日(%)" ], [ "1", "贵金属（881169）", "-4.71", "191.95", "0.84", "-19.86" ], [ "2", "种植业与林业（881101）", "-4.62", "160.74", "1.01", "11.03" ], [ "3", "能源金属（881267）", "-3.95", "111.70", "-2.49", "-17.77" ], [ "4", "元件（881270）", "-3.75", "839.89", "-9.21", "1.31" ], [ "5", "小金属（881170）", "-3.63", "171.84", "-4.52", "-15.24" ], [ "6", "油气开采及服务（881107）", "-3.46", "45.90", "-1.33", "-5.58" ], [ "7", "非金属材料（881167）", "-3.27", "37.51", "-6.66", "-8.09" ], [ "8", "通信设备（881129）", "-3.03", "886.42", "-6.53", "-6.88" ], [ "9", "生物制品（881142）", "-3.02", "154.87", "-1.33", "-2.07" ], [ "10", "煤炭开采加工（881105）", "-3.00", "158.64", "0.32", "2.11" ] ], [ [ "指数简称", "成交额(亿元)", "涨跌幅(%)", "近5日(%)", "近30日(%)" ], [ "半导体（881121）", "1644.42", "-2.73", "-10.98", "-11.26" ], [ "通信设备（881129）", "886.42", "-3.03", "-6.53", "-6.88" ], [ "元件（881270）", "839.89", "-3.75", "-9.21", "1.31" ], [ "电池", "815.21", "-2.28", "8.06", "0.30" ], [ "文化传媒（881164）", "470.08", "2.37", "8.20", "14.24" ], [ "化学制品（881109）", "393.80", "-1.94", "-0.38", "-0.71" ], [ "通用设备（881117）", "362.93", "-1.82", "-5.09", "-3.59" ], [ "银行", "362.79", "1.99", "3.62", "5.32" ], [ "化学制药（881140）", "357.03", "-2.33", "-0.36", "-2.55" ], [ "消费电子（881124）", "350.66", "-1.92", "-5.86", "-7.36" ] ], [ [ "指数简称", "成交额(亿元)", "涨跌幅(%)", "近5日(%)", "近30日(%)" ], [ "厨卫电器（881174）", "7.75", "-1.60", "-0.36", "2.97" ], [ "贸易", "10.59", "-1.61", "0.94", "0.86" ], [ "黑色家电（881132）", "11.40", "-0.47", "-1.68", "1.33" ], [ "机场航运（881151）", "20.73", "-0.12", "0.39", "-2.02" ], [ "教育", "21.68", "-1.96", "-0.16", "6.82" ], [ "橡胶制品（881266）", "22.05", "-1.53", "-0.69", "1.41" ], [ "造纸（881137）", "23.44", "-2.22", "-0.88", "0.39" ], [ "电机", "25.05", "-1.05", "-2.29", "-4.47" ], [ "环保设备（881284）", "28.90", "-2.06", "-3.20", "-6.63" ], [ "轨交设备（881269）", "29.42", "-0.59", "-0.01", "0.34" ] ] ], "facts": { "breadth": { "up": 1155, "down": 4256, "flat": 67, "up5": 121, "down5": 462, "limitUp": 48, "limitDown": 22 }, "sectors": [ { "name": "影视院线", "return1dPct": 3.67, "turnoverYi": 147.18, "return5dPct": 10.97, "return30dPct": 20.83 }, { "name": "文化传媒", "return1dPct": 2.37, "turnoverYi": 470.08, "return5dPct": 8.2, "return30dPct": 14.24 }, { "name": "风电设备", "return1dPct": 2.34, "turnoverYi": 157.94, "return5dPct": -0.53, "return30dPct": 5.51 }, { "name": "银行", "return1dPct": 1.99, "turnoverYi": 362.79, "return5dPct": 3.62, "return30dPct": 5.32 }, { "name": "游戏", "return1dPct": 0.86, "turnoverYi": 64.97, "return5dPct": 3.78, "return30dPct": 0.74 }, { "name": "汽车整车", "return1dPct": 0.43, "turnoverYi": 141.67, "return5dPct": 0.54, "return30dPct": 1.67 }, { "name": "保险", "return1dPct": 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"return1dPct": -2.06, "turnoverYi": 28.9, "return5dPct": -3.2, "return30dPct": -6.63 }, { "name": "轨交设备", "return1dPct": -0.59, "turnoverYi": 29.42, "return5dPct": -0.01, "return30dPct": 0.34 } ] }, "excerptDigest": "7a43e808b12304ff68ff8f4ce66523c78bbda645fe0b8c1077fa0fda8bda7427" } ], "errors": [], "searchAudit": [], "collectedAt": "2026-10-12T16:43:06.516091+08:00", "contextDigest": "59280a53e45fb778141b5e5ed948b2de8135661dfbb3ae5f4aed3ea9c3105921" }, "mode": "before_next_open", "analysis": { "headline": "回升不等于转强，风险仍大于全面反弹机会", "conclusion": "我的判断：下一交易日先按偏弱震荡看，反弹首先是修复，不是新一轮普涨的起点。当前值得优先研究的是影视院线、文化传媒，重点是它们的强势能否延续，而不是把跌得多当作机会。", "keyFacts": [ { "label": "下跌个股占比", "value": "77.7%", "note": "4256 跌 / 1155 涨" }, { "label": "沪深300近20日", "value": "-5.72%", "note": "收盘 4287.98" }, { "label": "中证1000相对沪深300", "value": "-1.20 个百分点", "note": "前日 +0.08 个百分点" } ], "drivers": [ { "title": "内部放大：指数跌幅没有反映大多数股票的压力", "text": "上证跌0.43%，但同花顺统计中4256只下跌、1155只上涨，下跌占77.7%。这意味着靠分散买入来等待普涨，当前胜算并不占优。要确认修复，先看上涨股票是否明显增多，而不只是权重指数止跌。", "sources": [ "breadth" ] }, { "title": "小盘更弱，不宜把大盘企稳外推到小市值股票", "text": "中证1000-1.88%，沪深300-0.68%，相差-1.20个百分点；前日差值为+0.08个百分点。小盘相对弱势还在扩大。小市值公司的盈利增长和现金流必须单独核对，低PEG并不能抵消价格趋势与流动性压力。", "sources": [ "sh000852", "sh000300" ] }, { "title": "低位有承接，但离趋势修复还有距离", "text": "上证从日内低点3791.00回到3797.24，回升6.24点；创业板从2962.24回到2963.82。不过，上证20日均线在3886.10，创业板20日均线在3260.97。收盘仍在均线下方，说明抛压缓解不等于趋势已经扭转。", "sources": [ "sh000001", "sz399006" ] } ], "chain": [ "指数走势分化", "相对强弱改变", "观察修复能否扩散" ], "sectors": [ { "name": "影视院线", "return1dPct": 3.67, "turnoverYi": 147.18, "return5dPct": 10.97, "return30dPct": 20.83 }, { "name": "文化传媒", "return1dPct": 2.37, "turnoverYi": 470.08, "return5dPct": 8.2, "return30dPct": 14.24 }, { "name": "风电设备", "return1dPct": 2.34, "turnoverYi": 157.94, "return5dPct": -0.53, "return30dPct": 5.51 }, { "name": "银行", "return1dPct": 1.99, "turnoverYi": 362.79, "return5dPct": 3.62, "return30dPct": 5.32 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"return5dPct": -0.38, "return30dPct": -0.71 }, { "name": "通用设备", "return1dPct": -1.82, "turnoverYi": 362.93, "return5dPct": -5.09, "return30dPct": -3.59 }, { "name": "化学制药", "return1dPct": -2.33, "turnoverYi": 357.03, "return5dPct": -0.36, "return30dPct": -2.55 }, { "name": "消费电子", "return1dPct": -1.92, "turnoverYi": 350.66, "return5dPct": -5.86, "return30dPct": -7.36 }, { "name": "厨卫电器", "return1dPct": -1.6, "turnoverYi": 7.75, "return5dPct": -0.36, "return30dPct": 2.97 }, { "name": "贸易", "return1dPct": -1.61, "turnoverYi": 10.59, "return5dPct": 0.94, "return30dPct": 0.86 }, { "name": "黑色家电", "return1dPct": -0.47, "turnoverYi": 11.4, "return5dPct": -1.68, "return30dPct": 1.33 }, { "name": "机场航运", "return1dPct": -0.12, "turnoverYi": 20.73, "return5dPct": 0.39, "return30dPct": -2.02 }, { "name": "教育", "return1dPct": -1.96, "turnoverYi": 21.68, "return5dPct": -0.16, "return30dPct": 6.82 }, { "name": "橡胶制品", "return1dPct": -1.53, "turnoverYi": 22.05, "return5dPct": -0.69, "return30dPct": 1.41 }, { "name": "造纸", "return1dPct": -2.22, "turnoverYi": 23.44, "return5dPct": -0.88, "return30dPct": 0.39 }, { "name": "电机", "return1dPct": -1.05, "turnoverYi": 25.05, "return5dPct": -2.29, "return30dPct": -4.47 }, { "name": "环保设备", "return1dPct": -2.06, "turnoverYi": 28.9, "return5dPct": -3.2, "return30dPct": -6.63 }, { "name": "轨交设备", "return1dPct": -0.59, "turnoverYi": 29.42, "return5dPct": -0.01, "return30dPct": 0.34 } ], "leaders": [ { "name": "影视院线", "return1dPct": 3.67, "turnoverYi": 147.18, "return5dPct": 10.97, "return30dPct": 20.83 }, { "name": "文化传媒", "return1dPct": 2.37, "turnoverYi": 470.08, "return5dPct": 8.2, "return30dPct": 14.24 }, { "name": "风电设备", "return1dPct": 2.34, "turnoverYi": 157.94, "return5dPct": -0.53, "return30dPct": 5.51 } ], "laggards": [ { "name": "贵金属", "return1dPct": -4.71, "turnoverYi": 191.95, "return5dPct": 0.84, "return30dPct": -19.86 }, { "name": "种植业与林业", "return1dPct": -4.62, "turnoverYi": 160.74, "return5dPct": 1.01, "return30dPct": 11.03 }, { "name": "能源金属", "return1dPct": -3.95, "turnoverYi": 111.7, "return5dPct": -2.49, "return30dPct": -17.77 } ], "sectorSummary": "强势集中在影视院线、文化传媒，不能概括成整个科技板块转强。半导体成交活跃也不代表上涨，成交与方向要一起看。", "opportunities": [ { "title": "影视院线：优先观察强势延续", "text": "当日+3.67%，近5日+10.97%，近30日+20.83%。它已经在弱市中体现相对强度；研究重点是上涨能否由盈利和订单兑现支持，而非只靠题材延续。", "condition": "下一交易日仍强于大盘，并从少数个股扩散到板块；若明显转弱，这条线索降级。", "sources": [ "breadth" ] }, { "title": "文化传媒：观察能否跟上主线", "text": "当日+2.37%，近5日+8.20%，近30日+14.24%。它已经在弱市中体现相对强度；研究重点是上涨能否由盈利和订单兑现支持，而非只靠题材延续。", "condition": "下一交易日仍强于大盘，并从少数个股扩散到板块；若明显转弱，这条线索降级。", "sources": [ "breadth" ] }, { "title": "小盘修复：等相对强弱先改变", "text": "本期中证1000相对沪深300-1.20个百分点。如果这个差值继续为负，仅凭跌幅大就判断错杀，容易把弱势误当便宜。", "condition": "先看中证1000不再跑输沪深300，再研究业绩与现金流能支撑估值的公司。", "sources": [ "sh000852", "sh000300" ] } ], "risks": [ { "title": "修复失败", "text": "上证3791.00是本期日内低点。若下一交易日收盘跌破，说明这次承接被否定，下行风险应上调。", "sources": [ "sh000001" ] }, { "title": "强势方向也有回撤压力", "text": "领涨的影视院线近30日已涨+20.83%，强势与低风险是两回事。若高位放量却不能继续走强，要警惕收益预期回落。", "sources": [ "breadth" ] } ], "scenarios": [ { "label": "主判断", "title": "偏弱震荡，反弹先看修复", "text": "上证若守住3791.00但仍未收复3886.10，维持当前判断。同时看中证1000与沪深300的差值是否改善；小盘继续跑输时，不能把大盘回升当成全面机会。" }, { "label": "转强条件", "title": "价格修复与风格改善同时出现", "text": "上证收复3886.10（本期20日均线），且中证1000不再跑输沪深300，才把判断向更广泛修复调整。" }, { "label": "转弱条件", "title": "前低失守，承接被否定", "text": "上证收盘跌破3791.00，或小盘相对弱势进一步扩大，当前修复假设降级。不能用盘中拉升抵消收盘走弱。" } ], "technical": [ { "id": "sh000001", "name": "上证指数", "ma5": 3819.11, "ma10": 3864.61, "ma20": 3886.1, "recoveryFromLowPct": 0.16 }, { "id": "sh000300", "name": "沪深300", "ma5": 4323.67, "ma10": 4399.97, "ma20": 4457.13, "recoveryFromLowPct": 0.19 }, { "id": "sh000905", "name": "中证500", "ma5": 7293.45, "ma10": 7496.49, "ma20": 7591.61, "recoveryFromLowPct": 0.1 }, { "id": "sh000852", "name": "中证1000", "ma5": 7188.03, "ma10": 7407.54, "ma20": 7488.4, "recoveryFromLowPct": 0.1 }, { "id": "sz399006", "name": "创业板指", "ma5": 3064.33, "ma10": 3192.95, "ma20": 3260.97, "recoveryFromLowPct": 0.05 }, { "id": "sh000688", "name": "科创50", "ma5": 1487.93, "ma10": 1560.09, "ma20": 1573.27, "recoveryFromLowPct": 0.1 } ], "overnight": null, "breadth": { "up": 1155, "down": 4256, "flat": 67, "up5": 121, "down5": 462, "limitUp": 48, "limitDown": 22 }, "strategy": "对小市值 + 低PEG研究：先排查利润是不是一次性、经营现金流能否跟上、成交是否足以承接波动。优先研究有业绩支撑的相对强势公司；不因指数回升、跌幅大或估值低就直接得出便宜的结论。" }, "readingDigest": "651bb91ce101fe46ffb6f0d3ed5b3ffbdf786d182a2c54d3e0368e7eceda3d3c" }