{
  "schemaVersion": 1,
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  "reportDigest": "dadc32269ddb8c7e5a2407a6db88c41e41d8531c3753cf9de3dedc54a246b074",
  "tradingDate": "2026-10-13",
  "createdAt": "2026-10-13T15:24:25.094328+08:00",
  "context": {
    "schemaVersion": 1,
    "tradingDate": "2026-10-13",
    "sources": [],
    "errors": [
      {
        "sourceId": "fixed-list-breadth",
        "reason": "ValueError"
      },
      {
        "sourceId": "discovery-breadth",
        "reason": "RuntimeError"
      },
      {
        "sourceId": "discovery-turnover",
        "reason": "RuntimeError"
      },
      {
        "sourceId": "overnight",
        "reason": "ValueError"
      }
    ],
    "searchAudit": [
      {
        "query": "2026-10-13 A股每日行情复盘",
        "provider_calls": [
          {
            "provider": "tavily",
            "query": "2026-10-13 A股每日行情复盘",
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            "reason": "credits_exhausted"
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          {
            "provider": "serper",
            "query": "2026-10-13 A股每日行情复盘",
            "ok": false,
            "reason": "credits_exhausted"
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          {
            "provider": "glm_search_mcp",
            "query": "2026-10-13 A股每日行情复盘",
            "ok": true,
            "billingMode": "coding_plan_mcp",
            "contractCredits": 1.2
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        "expanded_queries": [],
        "result_count": 0,
        "errors": [
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          "serper: search provider credits exhausted"
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      {
        "query": "2026-10-13 Chinese shares close turnover Xinhua",
        "provider_calls": [
          {
            "provider": "tavily",
            "query": "2026-10-13 Chinese shares close turnover Xinhua",
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            "reason": "credits_exhausted"
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          {
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            "query": "2026-10-13 Chinese shares close turnover Xinhua",
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            "provider": "glm_search_mcp",
            "query": "2026-10-13 Chinese shares close turnover Xinhua",
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        "result_count": 0,
        "errors": [
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      },
      {
        "query": "2026-10-13 收盘 美股 美债 油价",
        "provider_calls": [
          {
            "provider": "tavily",
            "query": "2026-10-13 收盘 美股 美债 油价",
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          {
            "provider": "serper",
            "query": "2026-10-13 收盘 美股 美债 油价",
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          {
            "provider": "glm_search_mcp",
            "query": "2026-10-13 收盘 美股 美债 油价",
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        "expanded_queries": [],
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          "serper: search provider credits exhausted"
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    ],
    "collectedAt": "2026-10-13T15:24:25.094090+08:00",
    "contextDigest": "92b3a1a1ab1f6f5fd9f0466595a4204d25bb684f78bc84900f2a5149c60dda8a"
  },
  "mode": "before_next_open",
  "analysis": {
    "headline": "指数仍在分化，机会取决于强势方向能否扩散",
    "conclusion": "我的判断：下一交易日仍以分化看待，先分清强弱方向，不把指数反弹等同于所有股票的机会。判断改变的关键，是指数收复均线、大小盘强弱改善，而不是盘中一次拉升。",
    "keyFacts": [
      {
        "label": "当日收跌指数",
        "value": "3 / 6",
        "note": "六个主要观察指数"
      },
      {
        "label": "沪深300近20日",
        "value": "-6.54%",
        "note": "收盘 4275.68"
      },
      {
        "label": "中证1000相对沪深300",
        "value": "+0.31 个百分点",
        "note": "前日 -1.20 个百分点"
      }
    ],
    "drivers": [
      {
        "title": "先看价格结构：短期回升仍需趋势确认",
        "text": "六个指数中3个收跌、6个低于20日均线。沪深300近20日-6.54%。多数指数与均线的位置，决定了当前应优先观察修复是否持续，而不是只看单日涨跌。",
        "sources": [
          "sh000300",
          "sh000001"
        ]
      },
      {
        "title": "小盘相对占优，下一步看强势是否保持",
        "text": "中证1000+0.02%，沪深300-0.29%，相差+0.31个百分点；前日差值为-1.20个百分点。当前相对强弱已出现变化，不能沿用上一期排序。小市值公司的盈利增长和现金流必须单独核对，低PEG并不能抵消价格趋势与流动性压力。",
        "sources": [
          "sh000852",
          "sh000300"
        ]
      },
      {
        "title": "收盘位置决定修复的成色",
        "text": "上证从日内低点3741.53回到3800.86，回升59.33点；创业板从2860.80回到2958.34。不过，上证20日均线在3879.51，创业板20日均线在3238.95。下一交易日要看收盘能否继续保持在关键均线上方。",
        "sources": [
          "sh000001",
          "sz399006"
        ]
      }
    ],
    "chain": [
      "指数走势分化",
      "相对强弱改变",
      "观察修复能否扩散"
    ],
    "sectors": [],
    "leaders": [],
    "laggards": [],
    "sectorSummary": "暂未取得当日行业涨跌表；本期不指定板块赢家。",
    "opportunities": [
      {
        "title": "小盘修复：等相对强弱先改变",
        "text": "本期中证1000相对沪深300+0.31个百分点。若相对强势继续保持，才值得进一步拆解其中的行业和盈利驱动。",
        "condition": "先看中证1000不再跑输沪深300，再研究业绩与现金流能支撑估值的公司。",
        "sources": [
          "sh000852",
          "sh000300"
        ]
      }
    ],
    "risks": [
      {
        "title": "修复失败",
        "text": "上证3741.53是本期日内低点。若下一交易日收盘跌破，说明这次承接被否定，下行风险应上调。",
        "sources": [
          "sh000001"
        ]
      },
      {
        "title": "强势方向也有回撤压力",
        "text": "指数企稳时，个股仍可能补跌；需要同时看大小盘相对表现和公司盈利质量。",
        "sources": [
          "sh000852"
        ]
      }
    ],
    "scenarios": [
      {
        "label": "主判断",
        "title": "震荡分化，先看强弱变化",
        "text": "优先看更多指数能否站上20日均线、相对强势是否延续；若只有少数方向支撑，则仍按局部行情看。"
      },
      {
        "label": "转强条件",
        "title": "价格修复与风格改善同时出现",
        "text": "上证收复3879.51（本期20日均线），且中证1000不再跑输沪深300，才把判断向更广泛修复调整。"
      },
      {
        "label": "转弱条件",
        "title": "前低失守，承接被否定",
        "text": "上证收盘跌破3741.53，或小盘相对弱势进一步扩大，当前修复假设降级。不能用盘中拉升抵消收盘走弱。"
      }
    ],
    "technical": [
      {
        "id": "sh000001",
        "name": "上证指数",
        "ma5": 3813.2,
        "ma10": 3849.71,
        "ma20": 3879.51,
        "recoveryFromLowPct": 1.59
      },
      {
        "id": "sh000300",
        "name": "沪深300",
        "ma5": 4309.76,
        "ma10": 4373.58,
        "ma20": 4442.16,
        "recoveryFromLowPct": 1.39
      },
      {
        "id": "sh000905",
        "name": "中证500",
        "ma5": 7222.54,
        "ma10": 7419.95,
        "ma20": 7557.9,
        "recoveryFromLowPct": 2.61
      },
      {
        "id": "sh000852",
        "name": "中证1000",
        "ma5": 7127.6,
        "ma10": 7333.23,
        "ma20": 7457.59,
        "recoveryFromLowPct": 3.33
      },
      {
        "id": "sz399006",
        "name": "创业板指",
        "ma5": 3027.49,
        "ma10": 3148.83,
        "ma20": 3238.95,
        "recoveryFromLowPct": 3.41
      },
      {
        "id": "sh000688",
        "name": "科创50",
        "ma5": 1459.5,
        "ma10": 1537.06,
        "ma20": 1563.85,
        "recoveryFromLowPct": 3.77
      }
    ],
    "overnight": null,
    "breadth": null,
    "strategy": "对小市值 + 低PEG研究：先排查利润是不是一次性、经营现金流能否跟上、成交是否足以承接波动。优先研究有业绩支撑的相对强势公司；不因指数回升、跌幅大或估值低就直接得出便宜的结论。"
  },
  "readingDigest": "29ccd77ab2243084baf940220db130a3e0c5a7a51be000f6f550a0a8cf568ae4"
}