{ "schemaVersion": 1, "methodVersion": "a-share-reading-1.0", "reportDigest": "5ef74f56fe161cb03a0add1c54e9285e466aceea244e5c102ece038d30321ee0", "tradingDate": "2026-10-15", "createdAt": "2026-10-15T16:43:06.622104+08:00", "context": { "schemaVersion": 1, "tradingDate": "2026-10-15", "sources": [ { "sourceId": "breadth", "kind": "breadth", "url": "https://news.10jqka.com.cn/20261015/c680726416.shtml", "label": "同花顺每日行情复盘", "tradingDate": "2026-10-15", "retrievedAt": "2026-10-15T16:43:06.578762+08:00", "contentSha256": "9c96be8749225a9a0bc5554c479f316a62ac73760f867c11b35ebc9c78ad1248", "excerpt": "当日A股市场共有214只个股上涨，2352只下跌，17只持平。其中34只个股涨超5%，416只个股跌超5%；17只个股涨停，15只个股跌停", "tables": [ [ [ "排名", "指数简称", "涨跌幅(%)", "成交额(亿元)", "近5日(%)", "近30日(%)" ], [ "1", "白酒（881273）", "1.22", "157.50", "1.35", "-1.70" ], [ "2", "证券", "0.32", "294.77", "2.79", "-3.33" ], [ "3", "保险", "-0.22", "77.53", "-4.29", "-7.01" ], [ "4", "厨卫电器（881174）", "-0.38", "14.55", "-2.93", "0.44" ], [ "5", "元件（881270）", "-0.48", "1005.74", "-2.81", "9.16" ], [ "6", "银行", "-1.09", "373.99", "-1.24", "1.42" ], [ "7", "医疗服务（881175）", "-1.13", "254.63", "-6.70", "-3.08" ], [ "8", "化学制药（881140）", "-1.39", "417.29", "-4.30", "-5.51" ], [ "9", "中药", "-1.40", "107.06", "-1.54", "-4.21" ], [ "10", "机场航运（881151）", "-1.45", "30.33", "-1.04", "-5.70" ] ], [ [ "排名", "指数简称", "涨跌幅(%)", "成交额(亿元)", "近5日(%)", "近30日(%)" ], [ "1", "煤炭开采加工（881105）", "-4.89", "166.11", "-4.22", "-3.91" ], [ "2", "油气开采及服务（881107）", "-4.79", "69.32", "-5.16", "-6.57" ], [ "3", "其他电源设备（881282）", "-4.48", "99.93", "-9.30", "-12.27" ], [ "4", "通信设备（881129）", "-4.45", "1010.15", "-9.11", "-12.14" ], [ "5", "工业金属（881168）", "-4.35", "260.62", "-7.41", "-14.69" ], [ "6", "教育", "-4.24", "20.95", "-3.87", "0.07" ], [ "7", "港口航运（881148）", "-4.21", "114.72", "-4.25", "-1.48" ], [ "8", "种植业与林业（881101）", "-4.16", "79.75", "-5.54", "-0.30" ], [ "9", "风电设备（881280）", "-4.08", "96.48", "-12.12", "-6.08" ], [ "10", "金属新材料（881114）", "-4.04", "49.45", "-8.05", "-11.98" ] ], [ [ "指数简称", "成交额(亿元)", "涨跌幅(%)", "近5日(%)", "近30日(%)" ], [ "半导体（881121）", "1989.85", "-3.67", "-10.21", "-14.82" ], [ "通信设备（881129）", "1010.15", "-4.45", "-9.11", "-12.14" ], [ "元件（881270）", "1005.74", "-0.48", "-2.81", "9.16" ], [ "电池", "601.67", "-1.81", "-7.57", "-7.89" ], [ "文化传媒（881164）", "518.11", "-1.78", "9.20", "14.90" ], [ "通用设备（881117）", "420.48", "-3.66", "-7.84", "-9.19" ], [ "化学制药（881140）", "417.29", "-1.39", "-4.30", "-5.51" ], [ "银行", "373.99", "-1.09", "-1.24", "1.42" ], [ "化学制品（881109）", "348.12", "-3.42", "-5.85", "-4.86" ], [ "电力", "334.72", "-2.80", "-4.06", "-3.36" ] ], [ [ "指数简称", "成交额(亿元)", "涨跌幅(%)", "近5日(%)", "近30日(%)" ], [ "贸易", "13.95", "-2.40", "-3.59", "-4.93" ], [ "厨卫电器（881174）", "14.55", "-0.38", "-2.93", "0.44" ], [ "黑色家电（881132）", "15.03", "-3.32", "-4.26", "-4.12" ], [ "橡胶制品（881266）", "18.40", "-3.62", "-5.74", "-4.63" ], [ "造纸（881137）", "20.64", "-2.73", "-5.41", "-6.72" ], [ "教育", "20.95", "-4.24", "-3.87", "0.07" ], [ "电机", "25.70", "-3.91", "-7.58", "-10.55" ], [ "汽车服务及其他（881128）", "27.35", "-2.92", "-4.80", "-5.14" ], [ "综合", "28.92", "-2.74", "-5.53", "-5.18" ], [ "环保设备（881284）", "29.55", "-3.39", "-8.01", "-12.78" ] ] ], "facts": { "breadth": { "up": 214, "down": 2352, "flat": 17, "up5": 34, "down5": 416, "limitUp": 17, "limitDown": 15 }, "sectors": [ { "name": "白酒", "return1dPct": 1.22, "turnoverYi": 157.5, "return5dPct": 1.35, "return30dPct": -1.7 }, { "name": "证券", "return1dPct": 0.32, "turnoverYi": 294.77, "return5dPct": 2.79, "return30dPct": -3.33 }, { "name": "保险", "return1dPct": -0.22, "turnoverYi": 77.53, "return5dPct": -4.29, "return30dPct": -7.01 }, { "name": "厨卫电器", "return1dPct": -0.38, "turnoverYi": 14.55, "return5dPct": -2.93, "return30dPct": 0.44 }, { "name": "元件", "return1dPct": -0.48, "turnoverYi": 1005.74, "return5dPct": -2.81, "return30dPct": 9.16 }, { "name": "银行", "return1dPct": -1.09, "turnoverYi": 373.99, "return5dPct": -1.24, "return30dPct": 1.42 }, { "name": "医疗服务", "return1dPct": -1.13, "turnoverYi": 254.63, "return5dPct": -6.7, "return30dPct": -3.08 }, { "name": "化学制药", "return1dPct": -1.39, "turnoverYi": 417.29, "return5dPct": -4.3, "return30dPct": -5.51 }, { "name": "中药", "return1dPct": -1.4, "turnoverYi": 107.06, "return5dPct": -1.54, "return30dPct": -4.21 }, { "name": "机场航运", "return1dPct": -1.45, "turnoverYi": 30.33, "return5dPct": -1.04, "return30dPct": -5.7 }, { "name": "煤炭开采加工", "return1dPct": -4.89, "turnoverYi": 166.11, "return5dPct": -4.22, "return30dPct": -3.91 }, { "name": "油气开采及服务", "return1dPct": -4.79, "turnoverYi": 69.32, "return5dPct": -5.16, "return30dPct": -6.57 }, { "name": "其他电源设备", "return1dPct": -4.48, "turnoverYi": 99.93, "return5dPct": -9.3, "return30dPct": -12.27 }, { "name": "通信设备", "return1dPct": -4.45, "turnoverYi": 1010.15, "return5dPct": -9.11, "return30dPct": -12.14 }, { "name": "工业金属", "return1dPct": -4.35, "turnoverYi": 260.62, "return5dPct": -7.41, "return30dPct": -14.69 }, { "name": "教育", "return1dPct": -4.24, "turnoverYi": 20.95, "return5dPct": -3.87, "return30dPct": 0.07 }, { "name": "港口航运", "return1dPct": -4.21, "turnoverYi": 114.72, "return5dPct": -4.25, "return30dPct": -1.48 }, { "name": "种植业与林业", "return1dPct": -4.16, "turnoverYi": 79.75, "return5dPct": -5.54, "return30dPct": -0.3 }, { "name": "风电设备", "return1dPct": -4.08, "turnoverYi": 96.48, "return5dPct": -12.12, "return30dPct": -6.08 }, { "name": "金属新材料", "return1dPct": -4.04, "turnoverYi": 49.45, "return5dPct": -8.05, "return30dPct": -11.98 }, { "name": "半导体", "return1dPct": -3.67, "turnoverYi": 1989.85, "return5dPct": -10.21, "return30dPct": -14.82 }, { "name": "电池", "return1dPct": -1.81, "turnoverYi": 601.67, "return5dPct": -7.57, "return30dPct": -7.89 }, { "name": "文化传媒", "return1dPct": -1.78, "turnoverYi": 518.11, "return5dPct": 9.2, "return30dPct": 14.9 }, { "name": "通用设备", "return1dPct": -3.66, "turnoverYi": 420.48, "return5dPct": -7.84, "return30dPct": -9.19 }, { "name": "化学制品", "return1dPct": -3.42, "turnoverYi": 348.12, "return5dPct": -5.85, "return30dPct": -4.86 }, { "name": "电力", "return1dPct": -2.8, "turnoverYi": 334.72, "return5dPct": -4.06, "return30dPct": -3.36 }, { "name": "贸易", "return1dPct": -2.4, "turnoverYi": 13.95, "return5dPct": -3.59, "return30dPct": -4.93 }, { "name": "黑色家电", "return1dPct": -3.32, "turnoverYi": 15.03, "return5dPct": -4.26, "return30dPct": -4.12 }, { "name": "橡胶制品", "return1dPct": -3.62, "turnoverYi": 18.4, "return5dPct": -5.74, "return30dPct": -4.63 }, { "name": "造纸", "return1dPct": -2.73, "turnoverYi": 20.64, "return5dPct": -5.41, "return30dPct": -6.72 }, { "name": "电机", "return1dPct": -3.91, "turnoverYi": 25.7, "return5dPct": -7.58, "return30dPct": -10.55 }, { "name": "汽车服务及其他", "return1dPct": -2.92, "turnoverYi": 27.35, "return5dPct": -4.8, "return30dPct": -5.14 }, { "name": "综合", "return1dPct": -2.74, "turnoverYi": 28.92, "return5dPct": -5.53, "return30dPct": -5.18 }, { "name": "环保设备", "return1dPct": -3.39, "turnoverYi": 29.55, "return5dPct": -8.01, "return30dPct": -12.78 } ] }, "excerptDigest": "b4c659f6753fd8949b34a0b20daa6de49150ab9414e04e96bb4c165ab1486a30" } ], "errors": [], "searchAudit": [], "collectedAt": "2026-10-15T16:43:06.621707+08:00", "contextDigest": "cb464047a653b9431bc69d11dd4a38c300595b8e3e6b9f94f4016db5e3713a5a" }, "mode": "before_next_open", "analysis": { "headline": "回升不等于转强，风险仍大于全面反弹机会", "conclusion": "我的判断：下一交易日先按偏弱震荡看，反弹首先是修复，不是新一轮普涨的起点。当前值得优先研究的是白酒、证券，重点是它们的强势能否延续，而不是把跌得多当作机会。", "keyFacts": [ { "label": "下跌个股占比", "value": "91.1%", "note": "2352 跌 / 214 涨" }, { "label": "沪深300近20日", "value": "-8.89%", "note": "收盘 4166.01" }, { "label": "中证1000相对沪深300", "value": "-2.06 个百分点", "note": "前日 -0.32 个百分点" } ], "drivers": [ { "title": "内部放大：指数跌幅没有反映大多数股票的压力", "text": "上证跌1.59%，但同花顺统计中2352只下跌、214只上涨，下跌占91.1%。这意味着靠分散买入来等待普涨，当前胜算并不占优。要确认修复，先看上涨股票是否明显增多，而不只是权重指数止跌。", "sources": [ "breadth" ] }, { "title": "小盘更弱，不宜把大盘企稳外推到小市值股票", "text": "中证1000-3.28%，沪深300-1.23%，相差-2.06个百分点；前日差值为-0.32个百分点。小盘相对弱势还在扩大。小市值公司的盈利增长和现金流必须单独核对，低PEG并不能抵消价格趋势与流动性压力。", "sources": [ "sh000852", "sh000300" ] }, { "title": "低位有承接，但离趋势修复还有距离", "text": "上证从日内低点3674.82回到3707.48，回升32.66点；创业板从2751.20回到2783.17。不过，上证20日均线在3858.64，创业板20日均线在3185.71。收盘仍在均线下方，说明抛压缓解不等于趋势已经扭转。", "sources": [ "sh000001", "sz399006" ] } ], "chain": [ "指数走势分化", "相对强弱改变", "观察修复能否扩散" ], "sectors": [ { "name": "白酒", "return1dPct": 1.22, "turnoverYi": 157.5, "return5dPct": 1.35, "return30dPct": -1.7 }, { "name": "证券", "return1dPct": 0.32, "turnoverYi": 294.77, "return5dPct": 2.79, "return30dPct": -3.33 }, { "name": "保险", "return1dPct": -0.22, "turnoverYi": 77.53, "return5dPct": -4.29, "return30dPct": -7.01 }, { "name": "厨卫电器", "return1dPct": -0.38, "turnoverYi": 14.55, "return5dPct": -2.93, "return30dPct": 0.44 }, { "name": "元件", "return1dPct": -0.48, "turnoverYi": 1005.74, "return5dPct": -2.81, "return30dPct": 9.16 }, { "name": "银行", "return1dPct": -1.09, "turnoverYi": 373.99, "return5dPct": -1.24, "return30dPct": 1.42 }, { "name": "医疗服务", "return1dPct": -1.13, "turnoverYi": 254.63, "return5dPct": -6.7, "return30dPct": -3.08 }, { "name": "化学制药", "return1dPct": -1.39, "turnoverYi": 417.29, "return5dPct": -4.3, "return30dPct": -5.51 }, { "name": "中药", "return1dPct": -1.4, "turnoverYi": 107.06, "return5dPct": -1.54, "return30dPct": -4.21 }, { "name": "机场航运", "return1dPct": -1.45, "turnoverYi": 30.33, "return5dPct": -1.04, "return30dPct": -5.7 }, { "name": "煤炭开采加工", "return1dPct": -4.89, "turnoverYi": 166.11, "return5dPct": -4.22, "return30dPct": -3.91 }, { "name": "油气开采及服务", "return1dPct": -4.79, "turnoverYi": 69.32, "return5dPct": -5.16, "return30dPct": -6.57 }, { "name": "其他电源设备", "return1dPct": -4.48, "turnoverYi": 99.93, "return5dPct": -9.3, "return30dPct": -12.27 }, { "name": "通信设备", "return1dPct": -4.45, "turnoverYi": 1010.15, "return5dPct": -9.11, "return30dPct": -12.14 }, { "name": "工业金属", "return1dPct": -4.35, "turnoverYi": 260.62, "return5dPct": -7.41, "return30dPct": -14.69 }, { "name": "教育", "return1dPct": -4.24, "turnoverYi": 20.95, "return5dPct": -3.87, "return30dPct": 0.07 }, { "name": "港口航运", "return1dPct": -4.21, "turnoverYi": 114.72, "return5dPct": -4.25, "return30dPct": -1.48 }, { "name": "种植业与林业", "return1dPct": -4.16, "turnoverYi": 79.75, "return5dPct": -5.54, "return30dPct": -0.3 }, { "name": "风电设备", "return1dPct": -4.08, "turnoverYi": 96.48, "return5dPct": -12.12, "return30dPct": -6.08 }, { "name": "金属新材料", "return1dPct": -4.04, "turnoverYi": 49.45, "return5dPct": -8.05, "return30dPct": -11.98 }, { "name": "半导体", "return1dPct": -3.67, "turnoverYi": 1989.85, "return5dPct": -10.21, "return30dPct": -14.82 }, { "name": "电池", "return1dPct": -1.81, "turnoverYi": 601.67, "return5dPct": -7.57, "return30dPct": -7.89 }, { "name": "文化传媒", "return1dPct": -1.78, "turnoverYi": 518.11, "return5dPct": 9.2, "return30dPct": 14.9 }, { "name": "通用设备", "return1dPct": -3.66, "turnoverYi": 420.48, "return5dPct": -7.84, "return30dPct": -9.19 }, { "name": "化学制品", "return1dPct": -3.42, "turnoverYi": 348.12, "return5dPct": -5.85, "return30dPct": -4.86 }, { "name": "电力", "return1dPct": -2.8, "turnoverYi": 334.72, "return5dPct": -4.06, "return30dPct": -3.36 }, { "name": "贸易", "return1dPct": -2.4, "turnoverYi": 13.95, "return5dPct": -3.59, "return30dPct": -4.93 }, { "name": "黑色家电", "return1dPct": -3.32, "turnoverYi": 15.03, "return5dPct": -4.26, "return30dPct": -4.12 }, { "name": "橡胶制品", "return1dPct": -3.62, "turnoverYi": 18.4, "return5dPct": -5.74, "return30dPct": -4.63 }, { "name": "造纸", "return1dPct": -2.73, "turnoverYi": 20.64, "return5dPct": -5.41, "return30dPct": -6.72 }, { "name": "电机", "return1dPct": -3.91, "turnoverYi": 25.7, "return5dPct": -7.58, "return30dPct": -10.55 }, { "name": "汽车服务及其他", "return1dPct": -2.92, "turnoverYi": 27.35, "return5dPct": -4.8, "return30dPct": -5.14 }, { "name": "综合", "return1dPct": -2.74, "turnoverYi": 28.92, "return5dPct": -5.53, "return30dPct": -5.18 }, { "name": "环保设备", "return1dPct": -3.39, "turnoverYi": 29.55, "return5dPct": -8.01, "return30dPct": -12.78 } ], "leaders": [ { "name": "白酒", "return1dPct": 1.22, "turnoverYi": 157.5, "return5dPct": 1.35, "return30dPct": -1.7 }, { "name": "证券", "return1dPct": 0.32, "turnoverYi": 294.77, "return5dPct": 2.79, "return30dPct": -3.33 } ], "laggards": [ { "name": "煤炭开采加工", "return1dPct": -4.89, "turnoverYi": 166.11, "return5dPct": -4.22, "return30dPct": -3.91 }, { "name": "油气开采及服务", "return1dPct": -4.79, "turnoverYi": 69.32, "return5dPct": -5.16, "return30dPct": -6.57 }, { "name": "其他电源设备", "return1dPct": -4.48, "turnoverYi": 99.93, "return5dPct": -9.3, "return30dPct": -12.27 } ], "sectorSummary": "强势集中在白酒、证券，不能概括成整个科技板块转强。半导体成交活跃也不代表上涨，成交与方向要一起看。", "opportunities": [ { "title": "白酒：优先观察强势延续", "text": "当日+1.22%，近5日+1.35%，近30日-1.70%。它已经在弱市中体现相对强度；研究重点是上涨能否由盈利和订单兑现支持，而非只靠题材延续。", "condition": "下一交易日仍强于大盘，并从少数个股扩散到板块；若明显转弱，这条线索降级。", "sources": [ "breadth" ] }, { "title": "证券：观察能否跟上主线", "text": "当日+0.32%，近5日+2.79%，近30日-3.33%。它已经在弱市中体现相对强度；研究重点是上涨能否由盈利和订单兑现支持，而非只靠题材延续。", "condition": "下一交易日仍强于大盘，并从少数个股扩散到板块；若明显转弱，这条线索降级。", "sources": [ "breadth" ] }, { "title": "小盘修复：等相对强弱先改变", "text": "本期中证1000相对沪深300-2.06个百分点。如果这个差值继续为负，仅凭跌幅大就判断错杀，容易把弱势误当便宜。", "condition": "先看中证1000不再跑输沪深300，再研究业绩与现金流能支撑估值的公司。", "sources": [ "sh000852", "sh000300" ] } ], "risks": [ { "title": "修复失败", "text": "上证3674.82是本期日内低点。若下一交易日收盘跌破，说明这次承接被否定，下行风险应上调。", "sources": [ "sh000001" ] }, { "title": "强势方向也有回撤压力", "text": "领涨的白酒近30日已涨-1.70%，强势与低风险是两回事。若高位放量却不能继续走强，要警惕收益预期回落。", "sources": [ "breadth" ] } ], "scenarios": [ { "label": "主判断", "title": "偏弱震荡，反弹先看修复", "text": "上证若守住3674.82但仍未收复3858.64，维持当前判断。同时看中证1000与沪深300的差值是否改善；小盘继续跑输时，不能把大盘回升当成全面机会。" }, { "label": "转强条件", "title": "价格修复与风格改善同时出现", "text": "上证收复3858.64（本期20日均线），且中证1000不再跑输沪深300，才把判断向更广泛修复调整。" }, { "label": "转弱条件", "title": "前低失守，承接被否定", "text": "上证收盘跌破3674.82，或小盘相对弱势进一步扩大，当前修复假设降级。不能用盘中拉升抵消收盘走弱。" } ], "technical": [ { "id": "sh000001", "name": "上证指数", "ma5": 3777.32, "ma10": 3808.31, "ma20": 3858.64, "recoveryFromLowPct": 0.89 }, { "id": "sh000300", "name": "沪深300", "ma5": 4252.92, "ma10": 4305.76, "ma20": 4404.78, "recoveryFromLowPct": 1.24 }, { "id": "sh000905", "name": "中证500", "ma5": 7035.7, "ma10": 7232.81, "ma20": 7468.43, "recoveryFromLowPct": 0.65 }, { "id": "sh000852", "name": "中证1000", "ma5": 6956.88, "ma10": 7141.15, "ma20": 7371.36, "recoveryFromLowPct": 0.39 }, { "id": "sz399006", "name": "创业板指", "ma5": 2923.08, "ma10": 3035.87, "ma20": 3185.71, "recoveryFromLowPct": 1.16 }, { "id": "sh000688", "name": "科创50", "ma5": 1410.19, "ma10": 1478.45, "ma20": 1542.29, "recoveryFromLowPct": 2.51 } ], "overnight": null, "breadth": { "up": 214, "down": 2352, "flat": 17, "up5": 34, "down5": 416, "limitUp": 17, "limitDown": 15 }, "strategy": "对小市值 + 低PEG研究：先排查利润是不是一次性、经营现金流能否跟上、成交是否足以承接波动。优先研究有业绩支撑的相对强势公司；不因指数回升、跌幅大或估值低就直接得出便宜的结论。" }, "readingDigest": "e19f50fdb93784fab9680bd3666306c93b9af54d7ec09d5c70e8ecd605133475" }