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      "relationId": "producer-consumer-price-gap",
      "title": "上游涨价为何没有同步传到居民端",
      "question": "PPI 与 CPI 的差距持续扩大，成本由谁吸收，哪些行业最先承压？",
      "topicIds": [
        "china-prices"
      ],
      "metrics": [
        {
          "topicId": "china-prices",
          "topicLabel": "中国价格",
          "metricId": "ppiYoY",
          "label": "工业生产者出厂价格",
          "value": 5.0,
          "unit": "%",
          "period": "2026-09-30",
          "sourceIds": [
            "nbs"
          ]
        },
        {
          "topicId": "china-prices",
          "topicLabel": "中国价格",
          "metricId": "cpiYoY",
          "label": "居民消费价格",
          "value": 0.9,
          "unit": "%",
          "period": "2026-09-30",
          "sourceIds": [
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          ]
        }
      ],
      "gap": "4.10",
      "trigger": "2",
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      "priorityScore": 98,
      "scoreBreakdown": {
        "contradiction": 30,
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      },
      "status": "auto_topic",
      "riskTier": "discovery_low",
      "publicationTier": "discovery_card",
      "formalConclusionGate": "independent_review_required",
      "preferredGenre": "eda",
      "evidenceDigest": "7bf6cc5048439efe045b2b85d59360bdf9f35d773f045731db5742460076dc65",
      "boundary": "这是登记关系的探索性筛查，不是因果结论、政策资格判断或投资行动建议。"
    },
    {
      "id": "contradiction-fiscal-land-divergence",
      "kind": "topic_contradiction",
      "relationId": "fiscal-land-divergence",
      "title": "预算收入改善为何与土地收入下滑并存",
      "question": "一般公共预算收入与土地出让收入持续背离，地方项目资金靠什么缓冲？",
      "topicIds": [
        "china-fiscal"
      ],
      "metrics": [
        {
          "topicId": "china-fiscal",
          "topicLabel": "财政与土地",
          "metricId": "fiscalRevenueYtdYoY",
          "label": "公共预算收入累计同比",
          "value": 5.1,
          "unit": "%",
          "period": "2026-09-30",
          "sourceIds": [
            "official-157ddaaf24b6"
          ]
        },
        {
          "topicId": "china-fiscal",
          "topicLabel": "财政与土地",
          "metricId": "landSaleRevenueYtdYoY",
          "label": "土地出让收入累计同比",
          "value": -27.9,
          "unit": "%",
          "period": "2026-09-30",
          "sourceIds": [
            "official-a810660348c8"
          ]
        }
      ],
      "gap": "33.00",
      "trigger": "15",
      "relationMode": "gap",
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      "priorityScore": 95,
      "scoreBreakdown": {
        "contradiction": 30,
        "impact": 23,
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      },
      "status": "auto_topic",
      "riskTier": "discovery_low",
      "publicationTier": "discovery_card",
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      "preferredGenre": "eda",
      "evidenceDigest": "d94c0a460de6e398ceb34ea0b64db396a73e7019122e43dbe2753c6f144dcd65",
      "boundary": "这是登记关系的探索性筛查，不是因果结论、政策资格判断或投资行动建议。"
    },
    {
      "id": "contradiction-housing-tier-split",
      "kind": "topic_contradiction",
      "relationId": "housing-tier-split",
      "title": "一线与二三线二手房价格为何分化",
      "question": "一线城市价格接近止跌时，二三线仍在下行，这种分化由成交、库存还是收入解释？",
      "topicIds": [
        "china-house-prices"
      ],
      "metrics": [
        {
          "topicId": "china-house-prices",
          "topicLabel": "二手房价格",
          "metricId": "usedHomeTier1MoM",
          "label": "一线城市环比中位数",
          "value": 0.15,
          "unit": "%",
          "period": "2026-09-30",
          "sourceIds": [
            "macro-85128fd1066a"
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        },
        {
          "topicId": "china-house-prices",
          "topicLabel": "二手房价格",
          "metricId": "usedHomeTier2MoM",
          "label": "二线城市环比中位数",
          "value": -0.3,
          "unit": "%",
          "period": "2026-09-30",
          "sourceIds": [
            "macro-e6caa44245fa"
          ]
        },
        {
          "topicId": "china-house-prices",
          "topicLabel": "二手房价格",
          "metricId": "usedHomeTier3MoM",
          "label": "三线城市环比中位数",
          "value": -0.3,
          "unit": "%",
          "period": "2026-09-30",
          "sourceIds": [
            "macro-5fb58c35376b"
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        }
      ],
      "gap": "0.45",
      "trigger": "0.2",
      "relationMode": "direction_split",
      "persistencePeriods": 7,
      "priorityScore": 94,
      "scoreBreakdown": {
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        "impact": 21,
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        "persistence": 15,
        "evidence": 10
      },
      "status": "auto_topic",
      "riskTier": "discovery_low",
      "publicationTier": "discovery_card",
      "formalConclusionGate": "independent_review_required",
      "preferredGenre": "eda",
      "evidenceDigest": "019db03e96e15c6cd2dd83d1ced498b69fa0c8ccd4d330eb1b5df568aa73da69",
      "boundary": "这是登记关系的探索性筛查，不是因果结论、政策资格判断或投资行动建议。"
    },
    {
      "id": "contradiction-profit-output-gap",
      "kind": "topic_contradiction",
      "relationId": "profit-output-gap",
      "title": "利润增速为何显著快于工业产出",
      "question": "工业利润与工业增加值的差距来自价格、行业权重、低基数还是现金质量？",
      "topicIds": [
        "china-profits"
      ],
      "metrics": [
        {
          "topicId": "china-profits",
          "topicLabel": "工业利润",
          "metricId": "industrialProfitsYtdYoY",
          "label": "工业利润累计同比",
          "value": 15.5,
          "unit": "%",
          "period": "2026-09-30",
          "sourceIds": [
            "official-8c745adb6cab"
          ]
        },
        {
          "topicId": "china-profits",
          "topicLabel": "工业利润",
          "metricId": "industrialYoY",
          "label": "工业增加值当月同比",
          "value": 5.5,
          "unit": "%",
          "period": "2026-09-30",
          "sourceIds": [
            "official-151c940dc25e"
          ]
        }
      ],
      "gap": "10.00",
      "trigger": "5",
      "relationMode": "gap",
      "persistencePeriods": 6,
      "priorityScore": 93,
      "scoreBreakdown": {
        "contradiction": 30,
        "impact": 22,
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        "persistence": 15,
        "evidence": 10
      },
      "status": "auto_topic",
      "riskTier": "discovery_low",
      "publicationTier": "discovery_card",
      "formalConclusionGate": "independent_review_required",
      "preferredGenre": "eda",
      "evidenceDigest": "457530f91cd6db14cb82b8bceba99fcb029115b881a4251c6953fea7409c4228",
      "boundary": "这是登记关系的探索性筛查，不是因果结论、政策资格判断或投资行动建议。"
    },
    {
      "id": "contradiction-production-consumption-gap",
      "kind": "topic_contradiction",
      "relationId": "production-consumption-gap",
      "title": "生产修复为何没有变成居民需求",
      "question": "工业生产与社零增速出现明显差距，增长停在哪个收入或库存环节？",
      "topicIds": [
        "china-profits",
        "china-demand"
      ],
      "metrics": [
        {
          "topicId": "china-profits",
          "topicLabel": "工业利润",
          "metricId": "industrialYoY",
          "label": "工业增加值当月同比",
          "value": 5.5,
          "unit": "%",
          "period": "2026-09-30",
          "sourceIds": [
            "official-151c940dc25e"
          ]
        },
        {
          "topicId": "china-demand",
          "topicLabel": "中国需求",
          "metricId": "retailYoY",
          "label": "社会消费品零售总额",
          "value": 1.1,
          "unit": "%",
          "period": "2026-09-30",
          "sourceIds": [
            "nbs"
          ]
        }
      ],
      "gap": "4.40",
      "trigger": "3",
      "relationMode": "gap",
      "persistencePeriods": 9,
      "priorityScore": 92,
      "scoreBreakdown": {
        "contradiction": 22,
        "impact": 25,
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        "persistence": 15,
        "evidence": 10
      },
      "status": "auto_topic",
      "riskTier": "discovery_low",
      "publicationTier": "discovery_card",
      "formalConclusionGate": "independent_review_required",
      "preferredGenre": "eda",
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      "boundary": "这是登记关系的探索性筛查，不是因果结论、政策资格判断或投资行动建议。"
    },
    {
      "id": "contradiction-property-investment-sales-gap",
      "kind": "topic_contradiction",
      "relationId": "property-investment-sales-gap",
      "title": "销售与投资为何以不同速度收缩",
      "question": "商品房销售与开发投资降幅持续拉开，资金、库存和交付哪一环在拖延修复？",
      "topicIds": [
        "china-property"
      ],
      "metrics": [
        {
          "topicId": "china-property",
          "topicLabel": "房地产投资与销售",
          "metricId": "homeSalesYoY",
          "label": "商品房销售面积累计同比",
          "value": -13.2,
          "unit": "%",
          "period": "2026-09-30",
          "sourceIds": [
            "macro-62eab0e00a75"
          ]
        },
        {
          "topicId": "china-property",
          "topicLabel": "房地产投资与销售",
          "metricId": "realEstateInvestmentYoY",
          "label": "房地产开发投资累计同比",
          "value": -20.6,
          "unit": "%",
          "period": "2026-09-30",
          "sourceIds": [
            "macro-0774c4e146bb"
          ]
        }
      ],
      "gap": "7.40",
      "trigger": "5",
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      "persistencePeriods": 5,
      "priorityScore": 88,
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      },
      "status": "auto_topic",
      "riskTier": "discovery_low",
      "publicationTier": "discovery_card",
      "formalConclusionGate": "independent_review_required",
      "preferredGenre": "eda",
      "evidenceDigest": "6dc841027ac699490258c483d279cc505178af80a0d5e702091f8d982e313bf0",
      "boundary": "这是登记关系的探索性筛查，不是因果结论、政策资格判断或投资行动建议。"
    },
    {
      "id": "contradiction-us-producer-consumer-price-gap",
      "kind": "topic_contradiction",
      "relationId": "us-producer-consumer-price-gap",
      "title": "美国生产价格为何快于消费价格",
      "question": "美国 PPI 与 CPI 的差距扩大后，企业利润率和终端价格谁先调整？",
      "topicIds": [
        "us-prices"
      ],
      "metrics": [
        {
          "topicId": "us-prices",
          "topicLabel": "美国价格",
          "metricId": "ppiYoY",
          "label": "PPI 同比",
          "value": 6.3,
          "unit": "%",
          "period": "2026-09",
          "sourceIds": [
            "bls-ppi"
          ]
        },
        {
          "topicId": "us-prices",
          "topicLabel": "美国价格",
          "metricId": "cpiYoY",
          "label": "CPI 同比",
          "value": 3.7,
          "unit": "%",
          "period": "2026-09",
          "sourceIds": [
            "bls-cpi"
          ]
        }
      ],
      "gap": "2.60",
      "trigger": "1.5",
      "relationMode": "gap",
      "persistencePeriods": 6,
      "priorityScore": 86,
      "scoreBreakdown": {
        "contradiction": 26,
        "impact": 18,
        "novelty": 17,
        "persistence": 15,
        "evidence": 10
      },
      "status": "auto_topic",
      "riskTier": "discovery_low",
      "publicationTier": "discovery_card",
      "formalConclusionGate": "independent_review_required",
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      "boundary": "这是登记关系的探索性筛查，不是因果结论、政策资格判断或投资行动建议。"
    },
    {
      "id": "contradiction-us-wage-inflation-gap",
      "kind": "topic_contradiction",
      "relationId": "us-wage-inflation-gap",
      "title": "美国工资增速为何落后于物价",
      "question": "工资同比低于 CPI 时，实际购买力、消费和就业会先在哪一环转弱？",
      "topicIds": [
        "us-employment",
        "us-prices"
      ],
      "metrics": [
        {
          "topicId": "us-employment",
          "topicLabel": "美国就业",
          "metricId": "earningsYoY",
          "label": "平均时薪同比",
          "value": 3.02,
          "unit": "%",
          "period": "2026-09",
          "sourceIds": [
            "bls-api"
          ]
        },
        {
          "topicId": "us-prices",
          "topicLabel": "美国价格",
          "metricId": "cpiYoY",
          "label": "CPI 同比",
          "value": 3.7,
          "unit": "%",
          "period": "2026-09",
          "sourceIds": [
            "bls-cpi"
          ]
        }
      ],
      "gap": "0.68",
      "trigger": "0.5",
      "relationMode": "right_above_left",
      "persistencePeriods": 1,
      "priorityScore": 76,
      "scoreBreakdown": {
        "contradiction": 20,
        "impact": 22,
        "novelty": 19,
        "persistence": 5,
        "evidence": 10
      },
      "status": "auto_topic",
      "riskTier": "discovery_low",
      "publicationTier": "discovery_card",
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      "preferredGenre": "eda",
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      "boundary": "这是登记关系的探索性筛查，不是因果结论、政策资格判断或投资行动建议。"
    }
  ],
  "contradictionPolicy": {
    "autoTopicThreshold": 70,
    "observationThreshold": 55,
    "scoreWeights": {
      "contradiction": 30,
      "impact": 25,
      "novelty": 20,
      "persistence": 15,
      "evidence": 10
    },
    "scanRule": "扫描全部登记指标；只对预先登记且口径可比的关系评分，不做全排列。",
    "formalConclusionGate": "independent_review_required"
  },
  "expansionBacklog": [
    {
      "id": "city-rent-income-commute",
      "label": "城市实际租金、租客收入与通勤",
      "dimension": "labor-income",
      "source": "统计部门、住房部门与城市交通开放数据",
      "sourceUrl": "https://www.stats.gov.cn/",
      "priority": 110,
      "requiredProof": "同城市、同期间绑定实际成交租金、租客收入分布和通勤时间；挂牌租金、全体居民平均收入不得代替",
      "coverageStatus": "strong",
      "sourceStatus": "candidate_not_yet_adapted",
      "nextAction": "verify_source_and_measurement_card",
      "productionWriteAllowed": false
    },
    {
      "id": "industrial-cash-bridge",
      "label": "工业利润、应收、库存与经营现金",
      "dimension": "production-profit",
      "source": "国家统计局与交易所公司财报",
      "sourceUrl": "https://www.stats.gov.cn/",
      "priority": 108,
      "requiredProof": "总量利润与同报告期应收、库存、经营现金流分列；统计口径和上市公司口径不得直接相加",
      "coverageStatus": "strong",
      "sourceStatus": "candidate_not_yet_adapted",
      "nextAction": "verify_source_and_measurement_card",
      "productionWriteAllowed": false
    },
    {
      "id": "electricity-retail-breakdown",
      "label": "发电成本、市场采购与终端电价分解",
      "dimension": "production-profit",
      "source": "能源主管部门、电力交易中心与价格主管部门",
      "sourceUrl": "https://www.nea.gov.cn/",
      "priority": 106,
      "requiredProof": "限定同市场和用户类型，分列发电、市场采购、输配、政府基金及零售服务费，并保留调价规则",
      "coverageStatus": "strong",
      "sourceStatus": "candidate_not_yet_adapted",
      "nextAction": "verify_source_and_measurement_card",
      "productionWriteAllowed": false
    },
    {
      "id": "household-income-components",
      "label": "居民收入分项与中位数",
      "dimension": "labor-income",
      "source": "国家统计局住户调查",
      "sourceUrl": "https://www.stats.gov.cn/",
      "priority": 100,
      "requiredProof": "当季、累计、名义/实际、平均数/中位数分别绑定原表",
      "coverageStatus": "strong",
      "sourceStatus": "candidate_not_yet_adapted",
      "nextAction": "verify_source_and_measurement_card",
      "productionWriteAllowed": false
    },
    {
      "id": "project-cash-delivery",
      "label": "专项债、实物工作量与企业回款",
      "dimension": "property-fiscal",
      "source": "财政部与项目主管部门",
      "sourceUrl": "https://www.mof.gov.cn/",
      "priority": 96,
      "requiredProof": "发行、拨付、开工、采购与回款按不同阶段分列",
      "coverageStatus": "strong",
      "sourceStatus": "candidate_not_yet_adapted",
      "nextAction": "verify_source_and_measurement_card",
      "productionWriteAllowed": false
    },
    {
      "id": "company-cash-quality",
      "label": "行业收入、应收、存货与经营现金流",
      "dimension": "production-profit",
      "source": "交易所公司财报",
      "sourceUrl": "https://www.sse.com.cn/",
      "priority": 95,
      "requiredProof": "同报告期、同准则、同币种；至少两家同业并保留原文",
      "coverageStatus": "strong",
      "sourceStatus": "candidate_not_yet_adapted",
      "nextAction": "verify_source_and_measurement_card",
      "productionWriteAllowed": false
    },
    {
      "id": "job-vacancy-wages",
      "label": "招聘需求与行业工资",
      "dimension": "labor-income",
      "source": "人社部门与统计局",
      "sourceUrl": "https://www.mohrss.gov.cn/",
      "priority": 92,
      "requiredProof": "固定样本、职位口径和发布时间；招聘帖数不冒充就业人数",
      "coverageStatus": "strong",
      "sourceStatus": "candidate_not_yet_adapted",
      "nextAction": "verify_source_and_measurement_card",
      "productionWriteAllowed": false
    },
    {
      "id": "scfi",
      "label": "出口运价与交付周期",
      "dimension": "trade-markets",
      "source": "上海航运交易所",
      "sourceUrl": "https://www1.sse.net.cn/",
      "priority": 88,
      "requiredProof": "确认历史数据及公开再发布权，航线与综合指数分列",
      "coverageStatus": "partial",
      "sourceStatus": "redistribution_restricted",
      "nextAction": "verify_source_and_measurement_card",
      "productionWriteAllowed": false
    },
    {
      "id": "used-car-index",
      "label": "二手车价格与成交",
      "dimension": "consumption-prices",
      "source": "中国汽车流通协会",
      "sourceUrl": "https://www.cada.cn/",
      "priority": 84,
      "requiredProof": "取得固定口径可复算序列；均价和保值率不能替代指数",
      "coverageStatus": "strong",
      "sourceStatus": "source_not_verified",
      "nextAction": "verify_source_and_measurement_card",
      "productionWriteAllowed": false
    },
    {
      "id": "dram-nand",
      "label": "存储芯片现货与合约价格",
      "dimension": "production-profit",
      "source": "公开报价或授权数据商",
      "sourceUrl": "https://www.dramexchange.com/",
      "priority": 82,
      "requiredProof": "先取得再发布许可，SKU、容量、现货/合约价保持一致",
      "coverageStatus": "strong",
      "sourceStatus": "redistribution_restricted",
      "nextAction": "verify_source_and_measurement_card",
      "productionWriteAllowed": false
    }
  ],
  "rules": {
    "accuracy": "数值、单位、期间、口径、来源URL和抓取摘要全部绑定；冲突或越界失败关闭",
    "timeliness": "每个指标有独立频率与maxAgeDays；抓取时间不能替代数据日期",
    "completeness": "有值率的分母是已登记主题与序列对象，包含部分可用和过期值；来源按机构域名归并，不代表相互独立核验",
    "expansion": "候选来源先验证口径与再发布权，再写适配器和黄金解析测试"
  },
  "productionWriteAllowed": false,
  "artifactDigest": "362eb5b3e941278a8f0124f5ebe70ff1e20b61ef98140cb365b20119357f847f"
}
